New Zealand: rising WMP exports to China [News Oceania n°13/2020]

Period: August 31 – September 25, 2020

Milk production in Australia in July is up by +2.9% compared to July 2019. Many farms have benefited from good rainfall throughout much of September.

New Zealand+4.8% Milk Production
Jun-Aug 2020 y-o-y

Milk production in New Zealand is near the seasonal peak. The Milk production in the new agricultural season is positive, recording in the period June-August 2020 a variation of +4.8% compared to the same period of the previous year.

Spring weather has been very favourable to milk production. Milk production is expected higher in the current season compared to the previous year. There has been good rainfall in recent weeks leaving many pastures in healthy condition.

China is New Zealand’s main trading partner in the dairy sector. For the period January – August 2020, Chinese purchases of various New Zealand products, such as WMP, Butter and Cheese, have increased. Chinese demand is expected to remain strong through this season. - New Zealand Export of WMP – New Zealand Export of WMP

Price of Dairy Commodities

In Oceania, Butter prices are slightly decreasing, after a moderate increase during the past weeks. The price is mostly stable and should remain near the current levels in the coming months.

The price of Cheddar Cheese is rising. Currently there is uncertainty on the market and Buyers are willing to pay a higher price to receive the product.

SMP and WMP prices are increasing, after recording a decrease in the first two weeks of September. At the moment, the SMP market is very volatile, and prices are unstable.

The production of WMP is high and the drying plants are very active. China is particularly interested in buying WMP in New Zealand, considering the product safe and that the COVID-19 situation in the country is under control.

The results of the Global Dairy Trade on September 15th show positive signs. The price change on the previous event is +3.6%, recording a price increase for various dairy products, such as AMF (+2.0%), Cheddar Cheese (+7.2%), SMP (+8.4%) and WMP (+3.2%). Negative instead the variation of the price of Butter (- 1.4%). - GDT Results of September 15 – GDT Results of September 15

– Dairy season: July, 1st – June, 30th (Australia), June, 1st – May, 31st (New Zealand);
– Source: USDA summarized by the CLAL Team

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The team is composed of young people who with the help of Computer Science study the dairy market and develop tools to provide the Operators of the dairy sector with a comprehensive real-time view of the national and international market trends.

Posted in Australia_, New Zealand, News Oceania EN