China, a strategic country for EU production

Chinese dairy figures for the month of December 2017 confirm a positive trend y-o-y both in volume and in value. Imports of cheese and WMP slowed down (respectively -19.4% and -40.5%), but recorded satisfactory level of price growth (+12% and +28.4%).

Looking at the overall numbers of 2017, the role of China on the global chessboard clearly emerges. Essential, even for the West’s economies.

+37,4% value’s growth of the Chinese dairy import in 2017

Between January and December 2017, dairy imports increased in quantity (+12.9%) and in value (+37.4%), with positive performances for infant milk (+34.3% in quantity and +32.6% in value), WMP (+12% in quantity and +44.3% in value), SMP (+34.1% in quantity and +51.6% in value).

The Cheese balance is also positive: +11.2% in quantity and +18.7% in value. The growth margin of the Cheese export is high, but it is necessary to introduce Italian products to Chinese consumers, in order to make them aware of the value of the Made in Italy.

Fonterra has already started courses in Shanghai, to educate Chinese people to consume cheese.

Even the decision by the Chinese Ministry of Finance to cut import tariffs on 187 consumer goods, including some cheeses, can certainly be exploited to grow.

Not just Oceania. China is confirmed as strategic partner country also for European production.

In some fields, the dominance of New Zealand and Australia can be challenged by EU producers.

CLAL.it - CHINA: Import of Infant milk formula from European Union

CLAL.it – CHINA: Import of Infant milk formula from European Union

This is the case, for example, of the Netherlands, leader in infant milk export, with a share of 29% and an export growth of 11% in 2017.  In this context, also France has grown considerably, positioning its market share (14%) behind New Zealand (16%), with an increase in volumes exported in 2017 of 186% compared to the previous year.

France and the Netherlands grow respectively by 15% and 27% in the export of Whey Powder, placing themselves after the United States, the undisputed market leader with a market share of 55%.

New Zealand monopoly remains the export of WMP to China, with a market share of 92%, followed by a 3% of Australia, France, the U.S. and the Netherlands.

CHINA: dairy products Import year-to-date (December)
QUANTITY (Tons) VALUE (’000 USD)
2016 2017 ± on 2016 2016 2017 ± on 2016
Infant milk formula 225.328 302.627 +34,3% 3.072.427 4.072.941 +32,6%
WMP 419.749 470.096 +12,0% 1.081.977 1.561.320 +44,3%
Milk and cream 634.102 667.556 +5,3% 639.735 879.352 +37,5%
of which:
- Cream 85.525 138.635 +62,1% 233.817 446.195 +90,8%
- Bulk and pack. milk 548.576 528.922 -3,6% 405.918 433.157 +6,7%
Whey Powder 497.221 529.629 +6,5% 452.387 666.351 +47,3%
SMP 184.469 247.304 +34,1% 396.192 600.433 +51,6%
Butter 81.865 91.566 +11,8% 303.150 500.158 +65,0%
Cheese 97.179 108.035 +11,2% 419.406 497.725 +18,7%
Caseinates 16.174 13.975 -13,6% 106.435 112.035 +5,3%
Lactose Pharmaceutical 76.777 75.788 -1,3% 54.530 73.261 +34,3%
Yogurt and buttermilk 20.988 34.156 +62,7% 42.167 66.878 +58,6%
Condensed Milk 20.013 25.648 +28,2% 36.449 46.348 +27,2%
Lactose edible 10.323 12.082 +17,0% 15.743 20.221 +28,4%
TOTAL IMPORT 2.284.188 2.578.462 +12,9% 6.620.598 9.097.023 +37,4%
Data processed by Clal based on GTIS source.

CLAL.it - China: dairy import (value)

CLAL.it – China: dairy import (value)

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CLAL Team
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The CLAL.it team is composed of young people who with the help of Computer Science study the dairy market and develop tools to provide the Operators of the dairy sector with a comprehensive real-time view of the national and international market trends.

Posted in China, Import